48 22 5 Rank in State, Class, District |
870 -112 Strength Momentum |
1008 40.1(59) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) |
Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
08/24/15 | Albuquerque Academy | 0.002 | 1330 | L 0- 2 | Expected (+2) | 984 | 6% | |
08/26/15 | at Sandia | 0.004 | 1278 | L 0- 2 | Expected (+2) | 990 | 7% | |
08/29/15 | at Rio Rancho | 0.006 | 1461 | L 1- 4 | Expected (+3) | 1031 | 1% | |
09/01/15 | at Manzano | 0.012 | 993 | L 1- 2 | Expected (+1) | 897 | 30% | |
09/03/15 | at Rio Grande | 0.017 | 898 | L 1- 2 | Expected (0) | 850 | 42% | |
09/08/15 | Eldorado | 0.018 | 1287 | L 1- 6 | Expected (-1) | 810 | 10% | |
09/10/15 | at Highland ! | 0.041 | 830 | W 2- 0 | Expected (+2) | 966 | 51% | |
09/11/15 | Clovis | 0.041 | 1246 | L 0- 3 | Expected (0) | 891 | 12% | |
09/17/15 | Gallup | 0.102 | 642 | W 3- 0 | Expected (0) | 890 | 81% | |
09/23/15 | at Valley | 0.171 | 1023 | L 0- 4 | Expected (-2) | 761 | 26% | |
09/26/15 | Rio Grande ?? | 0.275 | 898 | L 0- 1 | Worse (-1) | 818 | 50% | |
10/02/15 | at Atrisco Heritage !! | 0.441 | 924 | W 1- 0 | Better (+2) | 963 | 38% | |
10/03/15 | at Del Norte | 0.471 | 823 | W 1- 0 | Expected (+1) | 912 | 52% | |
10/07/15 | Albuquerque | 0.312 | 1475 | L 0- 5 | Expected (+1) | 904 | 2% | |
10/10/15 | Valley | 0.630 | 1023 | L 0- 2 | Expected (-1) | 830 | 34% | |
10/14/15 | at Rio Grande | 0.847 | 898 | T 1- 1 | Better (+1) | 900 | 42% | |
10/21/15 | Atrisco Heritage ? | 0.930 | 924 | L 0- 1 | Expected (-1) | 831 | 47% | |
10/24/15 | at Albuquerque | 0.521 | 1475 | L 0- 6 | Expected (0) | 884 | 1% |
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals West Mesa actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 1008, while
West Mesa's "weighted playing strength" is 873
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.70 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/03/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 10/24/15)
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